OpenAI Valuation Skyrockets: A Glimpse into the Future of AI Investment

Posted: 1 year ago

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OpenAI, the renowned artificial intelligence (AI) start-up behind ChatGPT, is reportedly in discussions with potential investors regarding a valuation ranging from $80 billion to $90 billion. This staggering figure would not only make OpenAI more valuable than several major publicly-traded AI giants, such as Microsoft, Alphabet, and Nvidia, but also denotes the bullish sentiment surrounding the future of AI.

Recent reports suggest that OpenAI could soon see its shares purchased by external investors, enabling employees to capitalize on their holdings. This move isn’t new, as venture firms have acquired OpenAI shares via tender offers in the past. Ambitiously, the company anticipates generating $1 billion in revenue this year and projects significant growth in 2024.

OpenAI’s ascent in valuation places it alongside tech behemoths. Notably, Microsoft, an early advocate and investor in AI, has sunk billions into OpenAI and holds a 49% stake. Meanwhile, Alphabet is developing its AI contender, ‘Gemini’, which aims to rival OpenAI’s flagship GPT-4 model.

Comparatively, both Microsoft and Alphabet, despite having market capitalizations of $2.3 trillion and $1.6 trillion respectively, don’t command the same valuation-to-revenue ratio as OpenAI. Nvidia, benefiting from the AI boom with its in-demand chips, has seen its stock double this year, yet its valuation metric also lags behind OpenAI’s.

Start-ups often boast higher valuations than established entities like Alphabet, Microsoft, or Nvidia. This is because investors are betting on potential future profits, rather than current earnings. OpenAI’s potential valuation echoes this trend, signaling investor confidence in its pivotal role in a significant technological shift.

For perspective, if OpenAI achieves its anticipated valuation, it would be one of the world’s most valuable start-ups, surpassed only by giants like ByteDance and SpaceX, valued at $225 billion and $137 billion respectively.

However, it’s important to note that private firms like OpenAI aren’t required to publicize their financial data, making direct comparisons challenging. Leaked industry insights suggest ByteDance and SpaceX have strong revenue streams, with the former generating an impressive $85 billion in the previous year.

As for OpenAI, it began significant revenue generation following the release of ChatGPT last November. Despite this recent monetization, a valuation between $80 billion to $90 billion highlights overwhelming investor optimism towards AI’s potential.

Sam Altman, OpenAI’s Chief Executive, has indicated no immediate plans for a public offering or company sale. His reluctance stems from a desire to maintain strategic flexibility, especially when developing super-intelligent systems that might not align with traditional investor expectations.

In conclusion, OpenAI’s soaring valuation underscores the transformative potential and investor enthusiasm for AI, indicating a paradigm shift in the tech landscape.

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Source: https://www.barrons.com/articles/openai-valuation-ai-stock-microsoft-nvidia-a696ebf8?mod=hp_LEAD_3

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